View Item 
      •   UMY Repository
      • 04. LECTURERS ACADEMIC ACTIVITIES
      • CONFERENCE
      • View Item
      •   UMY Repository
      • 04. LECTURERS ACADEMIC ACTIVITIES
      • CONFERENCE
      • View Item
      JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it.

      Building The Rupiah Fragility Index In Indonesia: An Extraction Signal Approach

      Thumbnail
      View/Open
      Slides Presentation (600.0Kb)
      Date
      2019-08-08
      Author
      Wiranatakusuma, Dimas
      Metadata
      Show full item record
      Abstract
      Background – Rupiah is one of the weakest currencies in the world. Theoretically, the domestic currency depreciation will increase exports and attract capital inflows. However, over the past few years, the trade balance is negative and economic growth is stagnant at 5 percents. Given that Indonesia is a small and open economy, the Rupiah fragility would have significant effect towards monetary stability as pre-requisite to economic growth. Therefore, survelliance assessment in Rupiah fluctuation is important by building a credible index as surveillance tool. Problem Statement – This paper aims to build a composite index, called Rupiah Fragility Index (RFI), as surveillance tool for detecting currency risk. Hence, the paper addresses the issue on how is to build the Rupiah Fragility Index in Indonesia? Literature – The current literature rarely measures the optimal level of rupiah fluctuations. The study suggests the optimal range for Rupiah in order to finally prevent the future currency crises which may disrupt the economy at large. Methodology – The study adopts two indicators as developed by Kaminsky (1998) where he defines a crises as the condition of currency depreciation and foreign reserve depletion. An extraction signal approach is utilized with various time horizons and threshold to find out the oiptimal level of fluctuations. Expected Finding – The RFI shows that Rupiah di fluctuationg over the observation periods since 1990 until 2019 in monthly basis. The extraction signal approach is capable to suggest the optimal level of fluctuation. Conclusion – The index is important as surveillance tools for policy intervention.
      URI
      https://www.paramadina.ac.id/home/hubungan-international-news/indef
      http://repository.umy.ac.id/handle/123456789/34470
      Collections
      • CONFERENCE

      DSpace software copyright © 2002-2015  DuraSpace
      Contact Us | Send Feedback
      Theme by 
      @mire NV
       

       

      Browse

      All of UMY RepositoryCollectionsBy Issue DateAuthorsTitlesSubjectsThis CollectionBy Issue DateAuthorsTitlesSubjects

      My Account

      Login

      DSpace software copyright © 2002-2015  DuraSpace
      Contact Us | Send Feedback
      Theme by 
      @mire NV