Timely graduation is very important for students, study programs and universities. Some students who have passed the analysis to be a prediction of students who are still sitting in the lecture, so as to predict the number of students who can pass on time in the future. The process of data analysis using data mining techniques and Naive Bayes algorithm. Data used by students of 2010-2011 who have graduated and have not passed as data training as much as 435 record. Force 2011 and 2014 are taken at random as data testing as many as 100 records from the database of Muhammadiyah University of Yogyakarta. Software used RapidMiner, Sql Server 2014 studio management and excel micrososft