ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI NILAI IMPOR KENDARAAN BERMOTOR DI INDONESIA TAHUN 1987 – 2017 PENDEKATAN ERROR CORRECTION MODEL (ECM)
Abstract
This research was carried out to determine and analyze the effect of exchange rates, GDP per capita, production and lending interest rates on imports of motorized vehicles in Indonesia period in 1987-2017. This research used secondary data in the form of time series data taken from Statistics Indonesia (BPS), and other goverment institutions. The method used is Error Correction Model (ECM) and classic assumption test. Based on the analysis that has been carried out, the following results are obtained: variable exchange rates and lending interest rates in the short and long term have a negative and significant effect on imports of motorized vehicles in Indonesia, then variable GDP per capita in the short and long term has a positive and significant influence on imports of motorized vehicles in Indonesia. While the variable volume of motor vehicle production both in the short and long term does not have a significant effect on imports of motorized vehicles in Indonesia.