PREDIKSI FINANCIAL DISTRESS PADA BUMN DALAM MENILAI KINERJA PERUSAHAAN PEMERINTAH SEBAGAI UPAYA MENJAGA STABILITAS PENDAPATAN NEGARA
Abstract
This research aims to predict the financial difficulties or financial distress
of BUMN (State-owned Enterprise) companies in the field of processing industry
during 2014-2018 as well as to analyze the company performance stability during
those years. The prediction of financial distress in this research used discriminant
analysis technique using 5 prediction models namely Altman, Zmijewski,
Springate, Grover, and Fulmer Model.
The research results show that the models resulting in healthy companies
are Zmijewski, Fulmer, and Grover Model with the percentage of 100%, 92%, and
56% respectively. On the other hand, two other models are dominated with
bankruptcy with the percentage of 64% for Altman Model and 76% for Springate
Model. If seen from the aforementioned 5 models, the levels of company health
are the company of SMGR, SMBR, KRAS, KAEF, and INAF consecutively