dc.contributor.author | NATSIR, MOHAMMAD | |
dc.contributor.author | MARDIYATI, SRI | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2017-08-14T06:35:31Z | |
dc.date.available | 2017-08-14T06:35:31Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2016-05-14 | |
dc.identifier.isbn | 978-602-7577-70-1 | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://repository.umy.ac.id/handle/123456789/12847 | |
dc.description | Rice is an important commodity, because rice is the staple food and also a source
of income for most people in the ASEAN region. This study aims to determine the
import dependency and sufficiency of ASEAN rice potential, and to analysis the trend
of export value and competitiveness of ASEAN rice trade, and the presentation
before and after the implementation of ASEAN Economic Community (AEC).In this
study used secondary data such as time series of data from the years 1996-2014.
Then the data is forecasted for the year 2015-2020 with an exponential smoothing
method. This data is divided into two periods: AEC before period (1996-2015) and
AEC period (2016-2017). Although the AEC period starting in 2015, but the effect
from the implementation of free trade AEC has a time lag. To determine the import
dependency, sufficiency and competitiveness in the rice trade, then used IDR
(Import Dependency Ratio), SSR (Self Sufficiency Ratio), RCA (Revealed
Comparative Advantage), and AR (Acceleration Ratio). To determine AR in the rice
trade, the use of trend analysis with multiple regression, least square method. The
results of this study indicate that ASEAN rice production potential was able to exceed
the sufficiency and net export, the import dependency is very low. The ASEAN rice
has become a production base in the region of Southeast Asia and has the
comparative advantages. In the period AEC predicted that the situation would be
improved, due to an increase in production, the sufficiency and net export, the import
dependency decrease. Nevertheless, ASEAN rice trade performance at the world
level is estimated to be weakened. Only Thailand and Vietnam in the ASEAN region,
which has highly competitiveness on the level of world rice trade. | en_US |
dc.description.abstract | Rice is an important commodity, because rice is the staple food and also a source
of income for most people in the ASEAN region. This study aims to determine the
import dependency and sufficiency of ASEAN rice potential, and to analysis the trend
of export value and competitiveness of ASEAN rice trade, and the presentation
before and after the implementation of ASEAN Economic Community (AEC).In this
study used secondary data such as time series of data from the years 1996-2014.
Then the data is forecasted for the year 2015-2020 with an exponential smoothing
method. This data is divided into two periods: AEC before period (1996-2015) and
AEC period (2016-2017). Although the AEC period starting in 2015, but the effect
from the implementation of free trade AEC has a time lag. To determine the import
dependency, sufficiency and competitiveness in the rice trade, then used IDR
(Import Dependency Ratio), SSR (Self Sufficiency Ratio), RCA (Revealed
Comparative Advantage), and AR (Acceleration Ratio). To determine AR in the rice
trade, the use of trend analysis with multiple regression, least square method. The
results of this study indicate that ASEAN rice production potential was able to exceed
the sufficiency and net export, the import dependency is very low. The ASEAN rice
has become a production base in the region of Southeast Asia and has the
comparative advantages. In the period AEC predicted that the situation would be
improved, due to an increase in production, the sufficiency and net export, the import
dependency decrease. Nevertheless, ASEAN rice trade performance at the world
level is estimated to be weakened. Only Thailand and Vietnam in the ASEAN region,
which has highly competitiveness on the level of world rice trade. | en_US |
dc.language.iso | en_US | en_US |
dc.publisher | AGRIBUSSINESS DEVELOPMENT OF HUMAN WALFARE (ADHW) | en_US |
dc.subject | rice | en_US |
dc.subject | dependency | en_US |
dc.subject | sufficiency | en_US |
dc.subject | trade | en_US |
dc.subject | competitiveness | en_US |
dc.title | ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIVENESS ASEAN RICE TRADE IN THE ERA OF ASEAN ECONOMIC COMMUNITY | en_US |
dc.type | Book | en_US |